Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
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Outcome
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Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
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Resolution Criteria
"This question will resolve as the number of US states, including Washington, D.C., in which fully rider-only ride-hailing trips operated by Waymo are available to the general public on January 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source will be Waymo's website, which as of early 2024 includes a "Where Can You Go?" page. Other credible sources may also be considered in the event of ambiguity or dispute.
Fine Print "rider-only" trip means one in which the only humans in the car are passengers and no human operates the vehicle for the duration of the trip. "Available to the general public" means that any member of the public is eligible to use the service without first joining a waitlist or having been granted use of the service as part of a limited testing or early access phase. "United States" means the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. Therefore the possible outcome range is 0-51. In the event that Waymo's operating status in a given state is ambiguous or disputed, Metaculus admins will resolve the state's status based on the best available information indicating whether, in fact, its autonomous ride-hailing service is publicly available for ride-hailing on January 1, 2026."
News
Waymos new 6th gen robotaxis are coming to denver – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo is launching its 6th-generation robotaxi hardware in Denver this fall, deploying a mixed fleet that includes Zeekr RTs with 6th-gen hardware and Jaguar I-Pace with 5th-gen hardware after extensive testing and overcoming tariffs on Chinese-made EVs.
Andrew J. HawkinsWaymo 170 million miles safety crashes injuries – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo reports its autonomous vehicles have driven over 170 million miles with substantially fewer crashes and injuries than human drivers (e.g., 92% fewer crashes causing serious injuries or worse, 83% fewer with airbag deployments, and 82% fewer injuries overall), but safety advocates criticize the presentation of data and note nuances such as many crashes involving no passengers and ongoing incidents, including a recent non-fatal collision with a child in Santa Monica.
Andrew J. HawkinsWaymo fleet size factory arizona jaguar robotaxi zeekr – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo announced it currently operates 1,500 Jaguar I-Pace robotaxis across San Francisco, Los Angeles, Phoenix, and Austin and plans to grow to 3,500 total by 2026 with 2,000 additional units, while prepping new models (Zeekr RT and Hyundai Ioniq 5) and expanding its Mesa, Arizona factory to scale production and support a future sixth-generation Waymo Driver.
Andrew J. HawkinsWaymo identifies three new cities for robotaxi testing – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo will conduct a 2025 “road trip” by manually driving its self-driving vehicles in three new cities—Houston, Orlando, and San Antonio—while continuing tests in Las Vegas, Miami, and Japan, to evaluate performance in diverse weather and driving conditions, with no guaranteed path to launching a commercial robotaxi service.
Andrew J. HawkinsWaymo kicks off driverless trips in four new cities – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo is expanding rider-only driverless testing to four new cities—San Diego, Las Vegas, Tampa, and Denver—starting with employee rides while public trips are anticipated soon, and it is also testing its Hyundai Ioniq 5 robotaxi with a safety specialist on board.
Andrew J. HawkinsWaymo is coming to more of california – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo has received regulatory approval to expand its autonomous ride-hailing service across most of California, including the SF Bay Area, Los Angeles, Sacramento, and San Diego, with a gradual rollout guided by its safety framework.
Jay PetersWaymo cities part 2 – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo will begin operating fully driverless vehicles in three additional cities—Minneapolis, Tampa, and New Orleans—following an phased rollout (manual driving, then autonomous, then select passenger trips, and finally public robotaxi), using fifth-generation Jaguar SUVs with potential future additions of Zeekr and Hyundai vehicles.
Andrew J. HawkinsWaymo test cities las vegas san diego 2025 – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo will send fewer than 10 manually driven self-driving cars to 10 new U.S. cities in 2025, starting with Las Vegas and San Diego, to test how well its system generalizes to different local conditions and driving styles while focusing on perception, with testing in each city lasting a couple of months and emphasizing gathering enough data to assess generalizability without full-scale robotaxi launches.
Andrew J. HawkinsTesla, Waymo, Uber Driverless Rides Greenlighted in Las Vegas
Nevada’s Transportation Authority has approved Tesla, Waymo, and Aviari (Uber) to provide paid driverless rides in Clark County, including Las Vegas roads and the Strip (with airport access requiring separate approval), imposing caps of up to 5,000 Teslas and 1,000 Waymo/Aviari vehicles for the first year, plus regulatory requirements and a 120-day rollout window.
Waymo san diego las vegas detroit robotaxi launch – Breaking News & Latest Updates 2026
Waymo plans to launch commercial robotaxi services in San Diego, Las Vegas, and Detroit next year, expanding from its current markets, pending local approvals in Nevada and Michigan and using Zeekr RT vehicles alongside Jaguar I-Pace SUVs with its sixth-generation technology.
Andrew J. Hawkins