Event Image
January 1, 2027
Vol: $414

Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?

Chance50.0%
Yes50.00%

Outcome

%Chance

Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?

50%

Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?

Balance: $0.0

By placing order, you agree to Terms & Conditions

Resolution Criteria

"This question will resolve as the number of US states, including Washington, D.C., in which fully rider-only ride-hailing trips operated by Waymo are available to the general public on January 1, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be Waymo's website, which as of early 2024 includes a "Where Can You Go?" page. Other credible sources may also be considered in the event of ambiguity or dispute.

Fine Print "rider-only" trip means one in which the only humans in the car are passengers and no human operates the vehicle for the duration of the trip. "Available to the general public" means that any member of the public is eligible to use the service without first joining a waitlist or having been granted use of the service as part of a limited testing or early access phase. "United States" means the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. Therefore the possible outcome range is 0-51. In the event that Waymo's operating status in a given state is ambiguous or disputed, Metaculus admins will resolve the state's status based on the best available information indicating whether, in fact, its autonomous ride-hailing service is publicly available for ride-hailing on January 1, 2026."

News

1 day ago

Uber, Rivian announce $1.25 billion deal for 50,000 robotaxis

Uber and Rivian have announced a $1.25 billion deal to deploy up to 50,000 autonomous robotaxis, including an initial $300 million investment from Uber, with plans to introduce the vehicles in 25 cities across the U.S., Canada, and Europe by 2028, as part of a broader effort to capitalize on the growing autonomous vehicle market.

Michael Wayland
1 day ago

A $1.25B Uber-Rivian deal puts 10,000 autonomous R2 robotaxis on the road by 2028 | AP News

Uber will invest up to $1.25 billion in Rivian to deploy 10,000 autonomous R2 robotaxis in major cities by 2028, with plans to expand to 25 cities across the U.S., Canada, and Europe by 2031, contingent on meeting autonomous milestones.

1 day ago

Rivian and Uber announce $1.25B robotaxi partnership across 25 cities | Fox Business

Rivian and Uber have announced a $1.25 billion partnership to deploy up to 50,000 autonomous Rivian R2 robotaxis across 25 cities in the U.S., Canada, and Europe by 2031, beginning with initial deployments in San Francisco and Miami in 2028, contingent on autonomous performance milestones.

Eric Revell
1 day ago

Uber to invest $1.25 billion in Rivian as part of new robotaxi deal | The Verge

Uber will invest $1.25 billion in Rivian to deploy 50,000 autonomous robotaxis, starting with 10,000 R2 vehicles in select cities by 2028, with plans to expand to 25 cities and potentially Europe by 2031, contingent on Rivian meeting autonomy milestones.

Andrew J. Hawkins
1 day ago

Waymo´s aggressive strategy to get you inside a robotaxi is coming into view | Internet & ICT

Waymo is actively expanding its robotaxi service through strategic partnerships with major ride-hailing companies and local agencies to increase rider access and market presence.

drimble.nl
1 day ago

Uber taps Rivian to build robotaxis in deal worth up to $1.25B | TechCrunch

Uber has partnered with Rivian to develop and deploy up to 40,000 autonomous R2 robotaxis across 25 cities in the U.S., Canada, and Europe by 2031, starting with an initial purchase of 10,000 vehicles and a $300 million investment, despite Rivian not yet having begun production or testing the self-driving system.

Sean O'Kane, Kirsten Korosec
1 day ago

On the move: Waymo Swarms the Grove - Coconut Grove Spotlight

Waymo's self-driving cars, now operating in Coconut Grove and other Miami areas since January 2023, have demonstrated improved safety with significantly fewer crashes than human drivers, despite occasional technical issues and bizarre incidents.

Erik Bojnansky
1 day ago

The San Jose Blog: Waymo Launches Autonomous Rides at San Jose International Airport

Waymo has launched autonomous ride services at San Jose International Airport, making San Jose the first California airport to offer self-driving rides, enhancing regional connectivity and preparing for major events like Super Bowl 60 and FIFA World Cup, with growing public trust and positive user experiences.

Posted by Joshua Santos
1 day ago

Waymo hits 170 million miles while avoiding serious mayhem | The Verge

Waymo's autonomous vehicles have traveled over 170 million miles, reducing serious crash and injury rates by over 92%, but safety concerns persist due to incidents like a child injury in Santa Monica and ongoing investigations into robotaxi interactions with school buses and emergency vehicles.

Andrew J. Hawkins
1 day ago

Uber and Rivian strike $1.25bn robotaxi deal

Uber and Rivian have announced a $1.25 billion partnership, with Uber investing in Rivian's autonomous vehicle platform, which includes Rivian's proprietary in-house chip and full autonomous stack, to deploy up to 50,000 robotaxis across major cities starting in 2028, contingent on performance milestones.

Ana-Maria Stanciuc

Comments (2)

@arte

Reasoning
Bought
27 Yesshares @ 0.55¢

2mo ago

i think this is a great choice :D

@arte

2mo ago

great stuff :D