Event Image
January 1, 2027
Vol: $414

Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?

Chance50.0%
Yes50.00%

Outcome

%Chance

Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?

50%

Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?

Balance: $0.0

By placing order, you agree to Terms & Conditions

Resolution Criteria

"This question will resolve as the number of US states, including Washington, D.C., in which fully rider-only ride-hailing trips operated by Waymo are available to the general public on January 1, 2026.

The primary resolution source will be Waymo's website, which as of early 2024 includes a "Where Can You Go?" page. Other credible sources may also be considered in the event of ambiguity or dispute.

Fine Print "rider-only" trip means one in which the only humans in the car are passengers and no human operates the vehicle for the duration of the trip. "Available to the general public" means that any member of the public is eligible to use the service without first joining a waitlist or having been granted use of the service as part of a limited testing or early access phase. "United States" means the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. Therefore the possible outcome range is 0-51. In the event that Waymo's operating status in a given state is ambiguous or disputed, Metaculus admins will resolve the state's status based on the best available information indicating whether, in fact, its autonomous ride-hailing service is publicly available for ride-hailing on January 1, 2026."

News

about 12 hours ago

Tesla Model Y L Hits US Showrooms: Where to See It | TeslaNorth.com

Tesla has announced and is showcasing the Model Y Long Wheelbase at eight US showrooms (including Fremont, Newport Beach, Las Vegas, Houston, Naperville, Tysons Corner, Meatpacking NYC, and Duluth) with a six-seat (2+2+2) interior, a true third row, ~89 cu ft cargo space, dual-motor AWD, adaptive suspension, and an EPA-estimated 325-mile range.

Alex Diaz
1 day ago

Tesla Stages 245 Cybercabs at Giga Texas, Hitting EVXL's 200-Unit Call Ten Weeks Early — EVXL

Tesla’s Giga Texas staged 245 finished Cybercabs as of July 18, 2026—doubling the June 14 record and signaling a rapid ramp in production and staging (with ~34 units validating downtown and employee rides planned, while no paying passengers or public robotaxi service yet; the company self-certified the Cybercab under FMVSS to avoid a 2,500-unit cap), all ahead of the earlier 300-unit-crossing milestone and before any commercial deployment.

H. Kesteloo Jun 15
1 day ago

What’s New in Gemini Spark: Google AI Pro Rollout in the US (July 16, 2026) – Jetstream

Google announced that Gemini Spark, its personal AI agent built on Google Antigravity, is now rolled out to Google AI Pro members in the United States (with earlier expansion to Google AI Ultra members in Japan and other regions), and enhancements to its Google Workspace integration plus a 50% speed boost, with expected broader rollout to other regions soon.

1 day ago

Waymo's Autonomous Vehicles Flood Miami: What to Do in Case of an Accident

Waymo’s driverless taxis are operating in Miami with a new accident protocol: call 911 if injuries occur, exchange information via Waymo’s contact methods and document the scene, Waymo provides limited medical coverage, and potential defects could make cases involve product liability; also, after a May 2026 NHTSA investigation and highway-closure suspensions followed by a June 2026 recall for a software update, the company has expanded urban service in Miami since January 2026.

1 day ago

TechCrunch Mobility: The Clash Over Robotaxi Regulations - Tech Weekly

Uber and Waymo are in a regulatory clash over Washington, D.C.’s autonomous vehicle bill, opposing the proposed framework and pushing for a hybrid model that would require robotaxis to operate within a ride-hailing network alongside human drivers; if the current bill passes, Waymo would gain a six-month market lead, while ongoing hearings featured major players (Lyft, Tesla, Uber, Waymo) amid calls for stricter AV regulations, and Uber continues expanding with a $14.8 billion bid to acquire Delivery Hero, which would broaden its delivery footprint, even as local regulators weigh stringent testing, fees, and mileage requirements.

Kenneth Green
1 day ago

Pilot and EVgo hit 300 DC fast charging locations across US network

Pilot Flying J and EVgo (as EVgo eXtend) have expanded to 309 DC fast-charging sites across the U.S. with 1,323 stalls, reaching 300 public locations, accelerated by a GM–EVgo joint venture and NEVI funding to deploy up to 350 kW chargers along interstate corridors.

1 day ago

Google Maps Begins Rolling Out Live Speedometer Feature for Android Auto - Archyworldys

Google Maps on Android Auto is beginning a limited rollout of a live speedometer on car displays, with broader availability still in progress, alongside ongoing updates to hazard reporting, immersive full-screen navigation, support for non-standard screen shapes, integration of Gemini AI, and potential future Google Cast media features.

Daniel Kim — Technology Editor
1 day ago

TechCrunch Mobility: The battle over robotaxi rules | TechCrunch

Uber and Waymo are clashing over Washington, D.C.’s proposed autonomous-vehicle bill, with Uber opposing it and pushing a hybrid model that would require robotaxis to operate on ride-hailing networks alongside human drivers, potentially giving Waymo a head start but facing broad industry opposition, while Waymo supports the bill and benefits from already surpassing the testing requirements, and broader mobility policy tensions include Tesla’s pushback on testing/fees, regulatory debates, and new corporate moves like Uber’s $14.8B deal to acquire Delivery Hero.

Kirsten Korosec
1 day ago

Google Maps is getting a major visual upgrade which will transform how you use it and it's already hitting Android Auto

Google Maps is gaining a major visual upgrade called Immersive Navigation in Android Auto 17.3, shifting from 2D to data-driven 3D maps that blend Street View and satellite imagery, include automated transparency for large structures, and better match real-world visuals, with the rollout occurring in waves and initially in the U.S. limiting access for some users.

Alessandro Renesis
1 day ago

Uber and Waymo Clash Over D.C. Autonomous Vehicle Bill | Whalesbook

Uber and Waymo clash over a proposed Washington D.C. autonomous vehicle bill that would require 180 days of testing with at least 250,000 miles and impose hefty fees ($1M application, $5M permit, plus $0.15 per mile), prompting Uber to push for a hybrid model integrating AVs with human-driven ride-hailing and arguing the rules could stifle competition, while Waymo supports the current framework and industry players like Tesla push for recognizing data from other jurisdictions.

Comments (2)

@arte

Reasoning
Bought
27 Yesshares @ 0.55¢

6mo ago

i think this is a great choice :D

@arte

6mo ago

great stuff :D