Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
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Outcome
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Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
Will Waymo be available in more than 25 U.S. states by Jan 1, 2027?
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Resolution Criteria
"This question will resolve as the number of US states, including Washington, D.C., in which fully rider-only ride-hailing trips operated by Waymo are available to the general public on January 1, 2026.
The primary resolution source will be Waymo's website, which as of early 2024 includes a "Where Can You Go?" page. Other credible sources may also be considered in the event of ambiguity or dispute.
Fine Print "rider-only" trip means one in which the only humans in the car are passengers and no human operates the vehicle for the duration of the trip. "Available to the general public" means that any member of the public is eligible to use the service without first joining a waitlist or having been granted use of the service as part of a limited testing or early access phase. "United States" means the 50 states plus the District of Columbia. Therefore the possible outcome range is 0-51. In the event that Waymo's operating status in a given state is ambiguous or disputed, Metaculus admins will resolve the state's status based on the best available information indicating whether, in fact, its autonomous ride-hailing service is publicly available for ride-hailing on January 1, 2026."
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