
Will S&P 500 reach 7000 in 2025?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Will S&P 500 reach 7000 in 2025?
Will S&P 500 reach 7000 in 2025?

Concluded!
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 index reaches or exceeds 7000 at market close on any trading day in 2025. Otherwise "No".
Market open
December 19, 2025
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
January 7, 2026
News
Why the S&P 500's Rangebound Trading Could Continue
The article argues that the S&P 500 remains rangebound between roughly 7,300 and 7,530 due to mixed sentiment, ongoing macro risks (oil, AI, U.S.-Iran tensions), and a still-defensive options backdrop, with active managers largely invested and insufficient sustained buying to push through 7,530 despite some near-term tailwinds.
Todd SalamoneImproving Rates Of Change Support The Bull Market (NYSEARCA:SPY) | Seeking Alpha
Despite Middle East tensions and tech volatility, S&P 500 earnings growth is broadening beyond the Magnificent Seven, supporting sector rotation into value and cyclicals; the index trades at a forward P/E of 20.3x (around 5- and 10-year averages) with price gains driven by earnings growth, while macro signals (falling unemployment claims, robust retail sales ex-gas, moderating inflation) point to continued expansion in H2 2026 and likely Fed steadying in 2026, sustaining a persistent bull market.
JPMorgan Adjusts Price Target on S&P Global to $555 From $535, Maintains Overweight Rating | MarketScreener UAE Emirates
JPMorgan raised its price target for S&P Global to $555 from $535 and reiterated an Overweight rating, reflecting a higher fair value while noting S&P Global’s diverse financial information services and a consensus price target around $516 based on FactSet data.
MT NewswiresUS Indices Forecasts – Technical Support Holds Despite Middle East Noise | FXEmpire
US indices remain technically supported and in uptrends, with the Nasdaq 100 holding above 28,500, the Dow Jones at 52,000 supporting uptrend with 53,000 as resistance likely to attract attention, and the S&P 500 bouncing off the 50-day EMA and a trend-line within an ascending triangle toward potential 7,600 as earnings season fuels dips buying.
Christopher LewisBearish bets on S&P 500 surge to record amid 18% rally
Bearish bets on the S&P 500 have surged to 15-year highs with about 1.4 billion shares shorted and median short interest at 3.0% of market cap as the index hit five all-time highs, signaling a looming squeeze risk if hedges cover on positive catalysts like earnings, Fed news, or AI breakthroughs.
Editorial TeamS&P 500 Profit Forecasts Jump 32% as Wall Street Projects Strongest Earnings - HOKANEWS.COM
Wall Street forecasts indicate the S&P 500 will see about 32% year-over-year earnings growth, with projected earnings of roughly $373 per share, signaling a rare, strong earnings recovery driven by productivity gains, AI investment, and resilience amid higher interest rates and economic uncertainty.
Your NameManila Bulletin - COL Financial keeps bullish 7,500 PSEi target despite US-Iran tensions
COL Financial maintains its bullish outlook with a 7,500 PSEi year-end target, expecting valuations to rise to 12x earnings as energy prices moderate and potential catalysts like GCash’s IPO could lift turnover and foreign inflows, while the index would need to break key resistance around 6,570–6,700 before testing 7,460–7,560.
James A. LoyolaMorgan Stanley Adjusts Dow Price Target to $39 From $41, Maintains Equal Weight Rating | MarketScreener
Morgan Stanley lowered its Dow price target to $39 from $41 while keeping its Equal Weight rating.
MT NewswiresS&P 500 Retreats as AI Speculation Deflates with Arrival of Lower Cost Competition | Economy | Before It's News
The S&P 500 fell 1.5% to 7,457.69 as investors reassessed AI-related high costs and rotated into other sectors, keeping the index from a deeper drop despite AI optimism and strong earnings, with mood supported by chart indicators showing the AI-driven gains deflating without a market-wide crash.
S&P 500 to reach 8,250 by year-end despite a ‘summer stall’ – Ed Yardeni | Seeking Alpha
Ed Yardeni of Yardeni Research predicts the S&P 500 will reach 8,250 by year-end, powered by strong corporate earnings and sector rotation, despite a current “summer stall,” with overweight guidance toward energy, health care, financials, and industrials amid a shift away from complex tech as investors seek clear earnings potential.


