
Will S&P 500 reach 7000 in 2025?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Will S&P 500 reach 7000 in 2025?
Will S&P 500 reach 7000 in 2025?

Concluded!
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the S&P 500 index reaches or exceeds 7000 at market close on any trading day in 2025. Otherwise "No".
Market open
December 19, 2025
Market closed
After the outcome occurs
Paid out
January 7, 2026
News
Societe Generale: AI Boom Drives Individual Stock Volatility, But Overall Market Risk is Manageable | Bitget News
Société Générale says the AI investment cycle will keep driving volatility in individual stocks while macroeconomic fundamentals—growth, a strong labor market, and supportive policy—keep overall market risk manageable, with leadership likely to stay AI-related, correlations at multi-decade lows, and volatility remaining elevated until the AI cycle cools (potentially H2 2027), aided by financing conditions and regional structural risks in Asia.
NH Says KOSPI 6,000 Is Rock Bottom as Bad News Priced In - Seoul Economic Daily
NH Investment & Securities argues the KOSPI at around 6,000 is a rock-bottom floor already priced in despite further short-term downside risks, forecasting a likely rebound to the low- to mid-7,000s and a 12-month forward PBR of 1.3–1.4 (about 5,800–6,250 index), with limited additional selling pressure as earnings confirm stability.
Byun Su-YeonStay Bullish Despite The Rough Week: Aerospace, Finance, Biotech, And AI (NDX) | Seeking Alpha
Despite a rough week, the author remains bullish on equities, citing opportunities in aerospace, defense, biotech, and AI, with attractive valuations in semiconductors (MU, NVDA), and a constructive outlook into 2026 driven by lower inflation, resilient consumer spending, and strong Q2 earnings, while actively adding to positions in MU, RKLB, HONA, COF, and select biotech names.
SPCX Slides Below $125 Support as Starship Delay Puts SpaceX’s $1.8 Trillion Valuation Under Pressure - Forex News by FX Leaders
SpaceX’s SPCX stock fell below $125 after another Starship delay revived concerns about execution and future valuation, even as the company posted strong Falcon 9 launches, growing Starlink and AI revenue, and highlighted Starship’s central role in long-term growth despite ongoing launch delays and development costs.
Aiswarya GopanAre Trump Accounts a Good Investment — Or Just Good Politics? - Financial News
Trump Accounts are a new government-supported savings program for children under 18, offering a $1,000 federal seed contribution plus up to $5,000 annual gifts invested in a low-cost index fund; projections vary—from about $40,000 under a cautious 6.7% return to potentially ~$243,000 if extended to age 55 with favorable returns—though gains are taxed as ordinary income and not as favorable long-term capital gains, with tax considerations between this and 529 plans being a key controversy, while critics question the value of the upfront “free” money.
News TeamMorgan Stanley Set a $300 Price Target on Elon Musk's SpaceX Stock | The Motley Fool
Morgan Stanley analyst Adam Jonas sets a $300 base target for SpaceX, predicting explosive growth driven by AI-enabled orbital infrastructure and a potential $28.5 trillion AI-focused TAM, but warns the stock remains highly volatile and depends on SpaceX delivering steep revenue growth to justify its valuation.
Justin PopeBIG: Tech has been the best-performing US sector for 7 straight years, with returns nearing levels last seen during the Dot-Com era.
Tech has been the best-performing U.S. sector for seven consecutive years, with its returns approaching the peak levels last seen during the Dot-Com era.
CryptoPanicNasdaq, Dow, S&P 500 Futures Edge Higher Ahead Of Key Earnings Week Even As Middle East Tensions Continue: DJT, NVDA, SLS, PANW Stocks In Focus — TradingView News
U.S. stock futures edged higher ahead of a busy earnings week, as oil prices surged above $90 amid renewed Middle East tensions and strikes on Iran, with major reports including Alphabet, Tesla, Intel, GM, IBM, ServiceNow, Verizon, and airlines; while the prior Friday saw declines led by chip concerns and AI spending, and notable interest centered on Nvidia, Palo Alto Networks, and Trump Media & Technology Group.
Goldman Sachs Warns of Nasdaq and S&P 500 CTA Threshold Breaches | KuCoin
Goldman Sachs warns that Nasdaq has breached its short-term CTA threshold (around 19,608) and the S&P 500 is near a critical level (about 5,472), signaling potential up to $100B in programmatic equity selling if the S&P 500 falls another ~3%, with CTAs driven by price action rather than fundamentals and no direct crypto involvement in the threshold model.
Catharsis Ours: December 31, 2013 Oddity - why does some trader think an unusual tail risk bet involving 9800 S&P January weekly puts ( which expire in ten days ) is a good play ? Someone know something , someone heard something...... just a hedge of some exotic type ? Something to ponder , guess we see what happens , if anything , in ten days !
A trader bought 9,800 January weekly S&P 500 puts at 1475 for 10 days, an unusually far out-of-the-money bet with delta < 0.01, suggesting a highly bearish tail-risk hedge or bet on a sharp index decline within the week, despite a new S&P high near 1845.39.
KEITH KOFFLER

