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December 31, 2027

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?

Outcome

%Chance

Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?

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Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?

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Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is officially nominated as the Republican Party candidate for President in 2028. Otherwise "No".

News

1 day ago

‘Trump is aiming for dictatorship’. That’s the verdict of the world’s most credible democracy watchdog | Martin Gelin | The Guardian

The V-Dem Institute warns that the US is experiencing its most severe democratic backsliding in history, rapidly approaching autocracy under Trump’s influence, with power concentrated in the presidency, undermining checks and balances, and erasing decades of democratic progress.

Martin Gelin
1 day ago

Vance vs Rubio succession fight could cost Republicans the White House - Newsweek

The article discusses the potential 2028 Republican presidential race between Vice President JD Vance and Secretary of State Marco Rubio, highlighting Vance's current lead among MAGA supporters, Rubio's rising support, and the implications of their rivalry for the future direction of the Republican Party.

1 day ago

CityWatch LA - Trump’s Aura Of Invincibility Is Disintegrating

The article highlights growing Republican opposition to Trump’s unilateral policies, including rejection of his redistricting and tariff efforts, bipartisan rebukes in Congress, legal setbacks, and internal party divisions, signaling his waning political influence ahead of the mid-term elections.

Dr. Alon Ben-Meir
1 day ago

Surge in US gas prices deepens political peril for Trump over Iran - BBC News

The article reports that amid ongoing US-Israeli military actions against Iran, rising gas prices and international responses are complicating President Trump's decision-making, including whether to escalate military involvement to secure the Strait of Hormuz, with some allies hesitant to join a broader conflict.

1 day ago

Donald Trump's approval rating underwater on three key issues - Newsweek

A recent poll shows Donald Trump’s approval ratings have declined on key issues—immigration (-12), foreign policy (-21), and the economy (-21)—with overall job approval dropping to 41%, amid growing voter dissatisfaction ahead of the 2026 midterms.

1 day ago

Lakeland Ledger: Local News, Politics & Sports in Lakeland, FL

The article covers various local news topics in Lakeland, FL, including severe weather forecasts, a speech by retired baseball player Greg Pryor at Florida Southern College, a proposed sand mine near Lake Wales, UCF's NCAA Tournament appearance, Florida sheriffs' stance on immigration, a Powerball jackpot winner, upcoming rocket launches, a roller coaster closure at Epic Universe, local high school sports achievements, and national events like March Madness and notable birthdays.

1 day ago

Brownstein: President's Iran war will compound his affordability woes

The article discusses how President Trump's focus on Iran's war and ongoing economic issues, particularly rising oil prices and inflation concerns, threaten his and the Republican Party's prospects in the upcoming midterm elections, as voters remain dissatisfied with economic management despite his efforts to shift attention to culture-war issues.

Ronald Brownstein
1 day ago

'Aha' Moment: Republicans confident Hispanic voters will save the House | Fox News

House Republicans are confidently relying on Hispanic voters to help secure the majority in the upcoming midterm elections, viewing this demographic as a crucial voting bloc.

1 day ago

‘Trump is aiming for dictatorship’. That’s the verdict of the world’s most credible democracy watchdog | Martin Gelin | The Guardian

The V-Dem Institute warns that the United States is experiencing its most severe democratic backsliding since 1965, rapidly approaching autocracy under Trump’s influence, marked by concentrated executive power, weakened checks and balances, and declining civil liberties.

Martin Gelin
1 day ago

Detroit News - Home

The article reports on a severe Michigan blizzard causing extensive snowfall, impassable roads in the UP, over 124,000 power outages, school and college closures, and ongoing efforts to restore power amid challenging weather conditions.

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