Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?

Trump makes final pitch for Darline Graham in South Carolina runoff

President Donald Trump urged South Carolina voters to back Darline Graham, his endorsed candidate and sister of the late Sen. Lindsey Graham, in the Aug. 25 GOP Senate runoff against Rep. Ralph Norman, as she pitches herself as a tough, novice candidate who supports the Trump agenda and aims to win the seat to face Democrat Annie Andrews.

AOC Blasts Past Newsom as 2028 Prediction Market Bets Pile Up - Rise To Thrive

Polymarket and Kalshi’s political prediction markets show JD Vance and AOC leading in the 2028 presidential markets (with Vance strongest on Polymarket and AOC leading Democratic nomination bets on both platforms), while Kalshi prices the Democrats at a 58% chance overall, as more than $1 billion in volume has traded and prices diverge across platforms ahead of the 2026 midterms and 2028 primary battles.

Republicans look to Dallas convention to regain midterm momentum

The Dallas convention is being pitched by Republicans as a crucial, though potentially risky, opportunity to galvanize momentum for Trump’s agenda ahead of the midterm elections, with plans to center Trump, highlight tax cuts and border security, attract donors and media exposure for candidates, and energize a party that polls show is trailing Democrats in enthusiasm.

The name Trump didn’t utter while stumping for Darline Graham – Roll Call

Trump avoided naming his preferred opponent in the South Carolina Senate runoff at a Myrtle Beach rally for Darline Graham, focusing instead on supporting Graham and praising Rep. Russell Fry, while Norman pressed endorsements and framed the race as a grassroots bid; overall, the event highlighted Trump’s continuing influence but underscored that endorsements don’t always overcome local dynamics in GOP primaries.

Trump touts endorsement power ahead of vital primary elections

President Donald Trump said his endorsement power is stronger than ever and cited a 97% success rate for his 2026 endorsements as pivotal primary elections in Oklahoma and South Carolina approach, while noting several endorsed candidates have lost and framing those losses as loyalty-driven long-shot bids.

WJ Straw Poll: Thomas Massie Takes the Lead This Week, But We're Not Buying It

The Western Journal’s non-scientific weekly GOP presidential straw poll initially showed Rep. Thomas Massie surging to a 47.8% lead for the week ending Aug. 23, 2026, prompting an internal investigation that suggested mass manipulation by Massie supporters and a resulting skewed result, with Marco Rubio falling to 25.7%, JD Vance at 14%, DeSantis 5.1%, Trump 4.9%, and others at 2.4% overall.

Trump’s renewed trade war with Canada gives yet another policy for Republicans to face on the campaign trail | The Independent

Trump’s renewed 50% tariffs on Canadian cars and auto parts, after failed U.S.-Canada talks, threaten consumer costs while complicating Republican messaging ahead of elections, as some GOP lawmakers oppose but few offer independent support, amplifying the party’s policy leverage debt tied to the president’s stance.

WJ Straw Poll: Thomas Massie Takes the Lead This Week, But We’re Not Buying It – Conservative News Daily™

The Western Journal’s non-scientific GOP 2028 straw poll saw Thomas Massie surge to 47.8% after a 35-point jump, prompting accusations of manipulation by Massie supporters, while Marco Rubio fell to 25.7% and other candidates trailed, with the publication noting the poll’s entertainment purpose and presenting an internal counterfactual suggesting Rubio would have led at 44% without the spike.

AOC Blasts Past Newsom as 2028 Prediction Market Bets Pile Up

Polymarket and Kalshi betting markets show JD Vance leading in Polymarket’s 2028 presidential winner odds with 23.4% and AOC at 14.1%, while AOC heads Democratic nomination bets (around 20% on Polymarket and ~18% on Kalshi) as overall Democratic probability sits higher on Kalshi (58% for the party) than for any single Republican, ahead of the 2026 midterms and 2028 campaign dynamics.

Darline Graham’s Chances of Losing to Ralph Norman—Final Odds, Polls - Newsweek

Trump-backed Darline Graham leads early in polls and faces Ralph Norman in a runoff for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate nomination after Graham won the primary but didn’t secure a majority; late runoff polling shows a tie, prediction markets favor Graham, and the winner will influence a generally Republican-leaning general election.