
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican nomination?
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Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump is officially nominated as the Republican Party candidate for President in 2028. Otherwise "No".
News
The Ultimate Influencer: Trump's $100,000 monthly subscription plan
Trump’s $100,000-per-month subscription plan offers traders a millisecond-head-start on the President’s market-moving remarks, positioning subscribers to gain an immediate edge as his words could influence markets.
Yes, the GOP Can Hold the House – PJ Media
The article argues that despite conventional wisdom, the GOP has a real chance to keep the House in 2027 thanks to favorable redistricting, stronger baseline ratings (roughly 212-221 seats), and Democrats needing a near-sweep of toss-ups plus favorable lean seats, while Democratic polling and alignment with socialist-leaning factions weaken their position.
Matt MargolisTrump endorsement won’t change Senate bid, Rep. Norman says - AOL
Rep. Ralph Norman says he will not drop out of the South Carolina Senate race after Lindsey Graham’s death, as Trump endorses interim Sen. Darline Graham Nordone for a full term and potential challengers, including Norman, tout election integrity and an “America first” agenda while navigated by new party rules requiring recent Republican primary participation.
AOLPolymarket odds: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as consensus softens - Blockchain.News
The Polymarket “Presidential Election Winner 2028” market shows JD Vance as the leader at 19.85% (with most others clustered behind: Rubio 13.95%, Newsom 11.65%, Trump 1.50%), reflecting a fragmented consensus amid a $664 million total volume and a broad spread of probabilities as traders fade the leader, with settlement on 2028-11-07 and near-term moves driven by narrative risk rather than definitive events.
blockchain.newsPresident Donald Trump Predicts 2026 World Cup Final Winner
Trump predicts Argentina, led by Lionel Messi, will win the World Cup final, praising Messi’s performance while Opta’s analysis favors Spain with a 59.5% chance; Argentina’s strength includes Emiliano Martínez and key scorers, though penalties remain a potential weakness for Spain.
PRedictions, PRojections, PRaise, and PRedators: Screwing the Pooch on Election Fraud – PJ Media
The article argues that the GOP is unlikely to achieve election reform before the 2026 midterms, predicts Trump will blame voter fraud for losses and pivot election reform into a central 2028 platform, and suggests Fox News has avoided discussing fraud to protect its interests after Dominion settlements, framing 2026 outcomes as a setup for a Republican-led push on election integrity in the near future.
Scott PinskerTrump's Mouth Is Writing Checks The GOP Can't Cash - PolitiZoom
Trump’s push for the nonexistent SAVE America Act has created a damaging, divisive distraction for Republicans, exposing rifts between leaders like Speaker Mike Johnson and Senate Majority Leader John Thune and hindering the GOP’s midterm prospects as Trump’s demand remains unsupported and unlikely to pass.
Susan FenyxThe GOP's Path to Retaining Control of the House Is Here
The July 16 Cook Political Report update shows Republicans favored to win 212 House seats with 18 more as tossups, meaning they only need six of those toss-ups to retain a majority, aided by a fundraising edge over Democrats.
Joseph ChalfantThe Walls Truly Might Be Closing In on Donald Trump - National Security Journal
The article argues that Trump’s Iran war has become politically damaging: while his MAGA base remains loyal, independents and non-MAGA Republicans have soured, polls show growing opposition to the war and concerns over cost of living and gasoline, Republican lawmakers increasingly oppose or doubt the strategy, and exit options for the White House and Congress are limited and politically costly.
Harry J. Kazianis'Hard to bet against Messi' did Trump hint at Argentina World Cup victory?
US President Donald Trump teased Argentina’s World Cup chances at MetLife Stadium, saying “it’s very hard to bet against Messi” and pointing to Lionel Messi’s play as the likely reason La Albiceleste could win, without giving an explicit winner.

