
Will China invade Taiwan by 2026?
Outcome
% Chance
Outcome
%Chance
Will China invade Taiwan by 2026?
Will China invade Taiwan by 2026?
Resolution Criteria
This market will resolve to "Yes" if China invade Taiwan before 1st Jan 2026. Otherwise "No".
News
AAAI 2026 Workshop AIGOV | OpenReview
The AAAI 2026 Workshop AIGOV, hosted on OpenReview, aims to advance discussions and research on the intersection of artificial intelligence and governance.
26/01/2026 11:30 GMT
The BBC News Summary for January 26, 2026, at 11:30 GMT provides a brief two-minute overview of the latest global news developments, available shortly after broadcast.
BBC Two Guide - Mon Jan 26 2026 - BBC iPlayer
The BBC Two schedule for January 26, 2026, includes a variety of programs such as "Bargain Hunt," "Antiques Roadshow," "Match of the Day," and "Clive Myrie's African Adventure," featuring entertainment, news, and documentaries throughout the day.
Beijing Snow World Snow Outlook — January 26, 2026
On January 26, 2026, Beijing Snow World has a low 5% forecast risk of snowfall, with temperatures ranging from 8 to 38°F (-13 to 3°C), making it less favorable for snow activities compared to other days in the period.
Trending Topics
Nikkei Asia reports on significant developments including Xi Jinping's military purge in China, which may reduce immediate risks to Taiwan but increase long-term threats, alongside Thailand's airstrikes revealing its tactics against Cambodia, and China's AI glasses industry, led by Alibaba, aiming to compete globally against major players like Meta and Samsung.
10 day weather forecast for Taiwan
The 10-day weather forecast for Taiwan predicts rainy conditions with temperatures ranging from 15°C to 22°C, particularly cooler midweek, and breezy winds averaging 13 km/h.
Weather forecast for today Taiwan
Today's weather in Taiwan features partly cloudy skies with a high of 23°C and a low of 16°C, minimal precipitation expected, and daylight lasting approximately 10 hours and 58 minutes.
Weather AtlasTNL Mediagene Statement of Editorial Independence
TNL Mediagene's Statement of Editorial Independence emphasizes its commitment to providing independent news and diverse perspectives, ensuring that content is not influenced by governments or political parties, while maintaining transparency about sponsored content and the separation of editorial and advertising departments.
TNL MediageneDavid Hoffman
David Hoffman is the China Center Leader and Senior Advisor at The Conference Board, specializing in China strategy, business planning, and geopolitical risk management, with over 31 years of experience in the region and a background in leading advisory practices at PricewaterhouseCoopers.
David HoffmanThe i Paper - Impartial news & intelligent debate
The i Paper offers impartial news and intelligent debate across various categories, including politics, culture, and sports, while encouraging subscriptions for in-depth coverage.

